The version of AI demand forecasting that works for a New York business is rarely the version a national vendor would sell you. We build the one that fits how your team actually operates - usually with fewer parts than the off-the-shelf pitch.
For New York operators who want a working pilot in weeks, not a year-long programme.
Our goal is to give New York businesses a three-day weekend, so people can spend more time with their families and the people they love :)
What AI demand forecasting actually does
Forecasts that account for school holidays, NZ weather, tourist seasons, and your own promo calendar. Order the right stock, roster the right hours, plan the next quarter with actual numbers.
- 01 Combines your sales history with weather, calendar, and event data
- 02 Per-SKU and per-store forecasts, not whole-business averages
- 03 Re-forecasts weekly as new data comes in
- 04 Explains the why behind every number
Built on: Prophet DuckDB Claude BigQuery Vercel
Without Kiwi Dynamics
With Kiwi Dynamics
What you actually get
Every engagement is scoped and quoted up front. This is what is in the box.
- A working pilot, in productionNot a prototype on someone's laptop. The first slice of AI demand forecasting runs against real work within weeks.
- Your data stays yoursIt runs on your accounts and your tools. If we part ways you keep the system and everything in it.
- The workflow mapped before codeWe write down what good looks like for New York businesses first, so nobody is guessing at handover.
- Support after it landsThe people who built it stay reachable when the business changes shape around it.
How AI demand forecasting compares
The two things most businesses do instead, and where each one runs out.
| Hiring for it | An off-the-shelf tool | Kiwi Dynamics | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fit to how you work | Fits perfectly, costs a salary | You bend your process to suit the tool | Built around the workflow you already run |
| Time to something useful | Immediate, and permanent | Quick to switch on, slow to make fit | A working slice in weeks, then hardened |
| Who owns the data | You do | The vendor, on the vendor's terms | You do, in your own accounts |
| When it breaks | That person sorts it, if they are in | A support queue and a ticket number | The people who built it |
| What it costs | A salary, every year, forever | Per seat, forever, used or not | Scoped and quoted up front |
What's different about doing this work in New York.
- New York runs on finance, law, media and a professional services machine that bills by the hour - AI here earns its place by giving that time back, not by being impressive in a demo.
- Wall Street firms, Big Law, and a media and advertising industry that never fully stops, all sitting on top of the highest labour costs in the country. New York teams want AI that survives contact with a real client deadline.
We work with teams across New York: Manhattan · Brooklyn · Queens · Midtown · Financial District · Long Island City.
Talk to us about this →
How we build AI demand forecasting for a New York team.
We scope narrow, ship a working pilot, then harden it into production. The first slice is the highest-leverage workflow for your New York business, so value lands before the build is finished. AI sales + stock forecasting.
Talk to usHow the work runs
- Find the one workflowWe look for the job costing New York businesses the most hours or the most leads, and deliberately ignore the rest for now.
- Ship a working sliceA narrow version goes into production in weeks, against real work, so the value shows up before the build is finished.
- Prove it, then widenWe measure it against what the work cost before. If it does not pay for itself, we say so rather than scaling it.
- Harden and hand overLogging, fallbacks and a real handover, so it keeps running when we are not in the room.
The outcome for New York teams
We'd call the engagement a success when New York teams are using the system without thinking about us. Stockouts down 35%, overstock down 22% in the first season.
Not your typical AI agency.
Honest about what AI can and cannot do
Ships the one workflow that pays for itself
Hours given back, never the size of the invoice
*Every engagement is scoped and quoted up front. Results vary by workflow and business.
FAQ
How long does AI demand forecasting take to ship for New York businesses?
We aim for a working pilot inside 4-6 weeks - narrow scope, real New York businesses data, measurable outcome. From there it's another 6-8 weeks of hardening before you'd consider it production. Full rollouts (multiple sites, multiple teams) typically land in 3-4 months.
How do you price AI demand forecasting engagements?
Fixed-scope pilots first, then either project pricing or a small monthly retainer for the ongoing work. No long lock-ins, no 18-month black-box deals. Most New York businesses are surprised how small the first cheque is.
What's the realistic outcome for New York businesses?
Stockouts down 35%, overstock down 22% in the first season. We don't promise tenfold lifts because we don't see them outside of marketing decks.
Who owns the code and the model setup?
You do, on delivery. We deploy AI demand forecasting into your own cloud account where possible, with the model setup, prompts, evals and integration code all checked into a repo you own. Prophet sits in your account too - we don't operate it from ours.
The honest version of a sales call.
No deck. No discovery doc. Just whether this is worth building and what it would cost.
Talk to us about this
Tell us what you're trying to do and we'll reply with how we'd build it - no obligation.